Assignment Bayes/Conditional Probability

Published by Mario Oettler on

Last Updated on 28. April 2023 by Martin Schuster

Task

Suppose we have four treasure boxes. In each box are two coins. This could be either a silver coin (S) or a gold coin (G). The following list shows how the coins are distributed among the boxes.

Box 1: GG

Box 2: GS

Box 3: GS

Box 4: SS

What is the probability of selecting box 1, if we blindly draw a gold coin?

Solution

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